Perry Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #169
Brown County Semi-State Rank #38
Crawford County Regional Rank #11
Jasper Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 20.7%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating North Harrison Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 9/5 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,232 1,325 1,393 1,308 1,389 1,171 1,226
Team Adjusted Rating 1,235 1,393 1,230 1,389 1,171 1,226
State RankRunnerSeason Rating North Harrison Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
640  Vanesa Barger 9 21:42 22:46 22:13 21:36 21:12 21:45 21:26 21:42
1,245  Jaylyn Jarboe 10 23:00 22:55 23:00 22:50 23:27 22:45 23:14
1,281  Mackenzie Tinch 9 23:05 25:54 23:44 25:22 22:35 23:00
Madelynn Elmer 10 23:58 23:32 24:43 23:34 25:29 23:43 23:52
Haylee Lawalin 12 25:04 24:10 24:57 25:44 25:01 25:21
Kindra Mangel 12 25:10 25:10
Tallya Tackett 11 27:13 31:21 27:41 28:16 27:30 26:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 20.7% 8.3 195 1.0 3.4 8.1 6.2 2.2
Sectionals 100% 6.3 136 6.3 14.4 27.3 52.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Vanesa Barger 98.5% 95.5 98.5% 98.5%
Jaylyn Jarboe 0.7% 137.0 0.7% 0.7%
Mackenzie Tinch 0.2% 141.5 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Vanesa Barger 100% 22.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.5 4.3 6.4 8.6 9.3 9.7 11.0 10.5 8.4 100.0% 100.0%
Jaylyn Jarboe 100% 44.6 100.0% 100.0%
Mackenzie Tinch 100% 46.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Vanesa Barger 11.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.9 7.4 10.4 12.1 13.3 15.6 15.2 9.4 5.9 3.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1
Jaylyn Jarboe 23.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.7 5.9 10.3 13.4 13.0 11.7 9.5
Mackenzie Tinch 24.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.9 3.8 6.7 8.6 11.5 13.0 10.8